Upper 70's by Mid Week! Rain this Wknd?

Good afternoon folks! I apologize for not posting on Sunday. We hung out in the woods longer than expected and did not arrive home till after dark. The start of the week is just about over so we'll focus on our attention on Tuesday into the weekend, with confidence dropping off somewhere around Friday or Saturday. Overall, we'll experience a warming trend this week as temps climb to the upper 70's by Wednesday, eventually cooling down to near normal levels by the weekend as rain chances increase. Tropical Cyclone Delta's eventual track after landfall will determine how much rain we receive Friday into the weekend and currently the models are slowly trending toward a wet weekend; this is not set in stone. Once tropical cyclone Delta exits our region sometime around Sunday or Monday, it looks like temps may once again return to above normal levels; fingers crossed the models are wrong.


Sunshine makes up the action on Tuesday and sunny skies extend into Wednesday and Thursday, with high clouds from Delta pushing into the area either Thursday or Friday. Temps will warm to the upper 50's above 5000' and low 70's across the valleys on Tuesday, climbing to the mid 60's - upper 70's depending on elevation by Wednesday and Thursday. A normal afternoon high temperature for the lower elevations in early October is 72°F but we'll be anywhere from 5 - 7 degrees above normal Wednesday and Thursday. Overnight lows will be our silver lining as they settle into the upper 40's - low 50's each night, under clear skies Tuesday and Wednesday nights, followed by increasing clouds Thursday night.


Things become a bit murky by Friday as our region could experience scattered showers or simply passing clouds. If Delta does come across or nearby the region this weekend, it's a good bet we'll experience a short lived rain event Saturday into Sunday. We'll not go into too much detail as the track could swing far enough away resulting in only scattered showers. The one take home at this point in time is to keep an eye on this changing forecast, especially if you have outdoor plans this weekend. We should know much more by Wednesday and we'll circle back with a new discussion then, hopefully with enough information to discuss totals and timeline of the possible rain event.

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