Regionwide Rain Sunday into Tuesday
Good morning folks! We knew this sunny and comfortable pattern couldn't last forever and we'll begin the transition to a muggy, rainy setup late Saturday night, with regionwide showers Sunday into Monday, followed by a second round Monday afternoon into Tuesday. We'll pick up anywhere from 1.5 - 4" of rain from the first round (highest amounts along the escarpment) Sunday into Monday, followed by another round of rain Monday into Tuesday (1 - 2") as a cold front sweeps into the region from the west. Sunday is looking like a washout as (soon to be named) Tropical Storm Claudette migrates across the Piedmont, exiting the region during the overnight hours. This will create a short lived break in the rain Monday morning, picking back up as the front approaches later in the day. After the front exits the region Tuesday afternoon, dry and cool NW flow will establish itself across the mountains Wednesday and we'll be treated to another stretch of pleasant weather, similar to what we saw this past Monday and Tuesday.
We'll kick off the timeline on Saturday and although moisture levels increase as the day moves along, we'll still be able to squeeze out one more sunny day across the region. Isolated showers and partly cloudy skies are a good bet by the mid - late afternoon hours, with temps once again climbing to the mid - upper 80's across the lower elevations. Scattered showers develop overnight into Sunday, with temps settling into the upper 50's - mid 60's depending upon elevation; very muggy after midnight.
Sunday (Father's Day) will keep shower activity going all day long but coverage will be closer to scattered as opposed to widespread and this translates to on and off activity throughout the day. All of SW NC will pick up rain on Sunday and for those who live in or near Highlands, Cashiers, or Lake Toxaway, this is likely to be an all day washout, whereas if you live closer to the TN line then you'll experience breaks in between rounds of moderate - heavy rain. 1.5 - 4" of rain is forecasted to fall across SW NC Sunday into Monday morning, with the higher amounts found along the SC state line and lower amounts the closer you are to the TN line. Temps Sunday will reach the upper 60's - low 80's depending upon elevation, settling into the low - mid 60's Sunday night. Shower activity will continue overnight into Monday, dropping from scattered to isolated coverage by the mid morning hours on Monday.
After a brief lull in shower activity Monday morning, showers pick back up after midday as a front approaches from the west. This go around, those who live along or near the TN line will pick up the highest rainfall amounts, with widespread coverage developing by the mid afternoon hours. Temps hold to the low 70's - mid 80's depending upon elevation and will settle into the upper 50's - mid 60's overnight into Tuesday. The heaviest rain is likely to fall during the overnight hours, ending sometime Tuesday afternoon. Another 1 - 2" of rain will fall from Monday morning into Tuesday afternoon. Temps Tuesday reach the upper 60's - low 80's and fall to the low - upper 50's Tuesday night as cooler air filters into the region.
Wednesday through late next week looks gorgeous for the middle of June, with dewpoints in the 50's and temps only making it to the upper 70's - low 80's across the valleys.
We'll stop here and circle back on Sunday, with a better timeline for the passing cold front Monday into Tuesday and more details about the cooldown arriving late Tuesday night. Stay Dry!