Muggy Monday; Regionwide Showers Tuesday
Good morning folks! Rain continues to fall across the region this Sunday morning, nearly widespread along the escarpment while the remainder of SW NC experiences scattered coverage. We'll see scattered showers continue throughout the morning hours and slowly wind down during the afternoon hours, which is a change from our previous discussion on Friday. Isolated showers will pepper the region Sunday night into Monday as the remnants of Tropical Storm Claudette migrate further northeast, with a mix of clouds and sun overhead on Monday. Strong southwesterly flow on Monday will translate to muggy conditions and although coverage will be isolated, heavy showers are a possibility with such high moisture levels. A cold front approaches the region overnight into Tuesday, bringing with it widespread showers after midnight that should continue past sunrise, gradually scaling back to scattered showers after midday. As the front migrates east, NW flow will take over Tuesday evening, drying out the region, resulting in mostly clear skies overhead after midnight. This sets up Wednesday and Thursday with mostly sunny skies and temps a touch cooler than normal for late June; low 80's for the valleys. Moisture returns later in the week and a typical pop up shower environment becomes established by Friday or Saturday.
After picking up 1 - 3" of rain today (Sunday) we'll start out the work week on Monday with valley fog and temps in the low - upper 60's depending upon elevation. Temps warm to the upper 60's above 5500', while the valleys push to the low 80's under a mix of sun and clouds. It will be very muggy tomorrow as SW flow becomes established across the region and this being SW NC, rain chances are always present and isolated pop up showers are expected after midday, with a few heavy downpours possible. Temps bottom out to the upper 50's - mid 60's Monday night as the front approaches from the west, sparking widespread showers to develop after midnight.
Showers continue into the morning hours on Tuesday the commute to work will be a wet one, with shower activity gradually scaling back from widespread before midday to scattered by the mid afternoon hours. The front should be east of the region by the mid afternoon hours and temps will only make it to the mid 60's - upper 70's depending upon elevation. Rainfall totals from Monday morning through Tuesday evening will tally up 1 - 2" across the area, possibly higher along the TN line. Temps settle into the low - upper 50's Tuesday night under clearing skies.
Wednesday and Thursday bring sunshine back to the region, coupled with low dewpoints and a steady NW breeze. It will not be as nice as Monday/Tuesday of last week, but considering its late June it will feel amazing outside, with temps warming to the low 80's across the valleys; mid 60's above 5500'. Overnight lows are likely to drop into the low - upper 50's across the region each night, possibly as low as the upper 40's above 5800'.
We'll stop here and circle back on Tuesday morning with a better look at the end of the work week, but early indications show moisture returning to the region and a classic summertime setup with pop up showers. ENJOY!