Increasing Shower Chances; Wet Thur/Fri
Good morning folks! Muggy conditions continue today into Tuesday, alleviating somewhat Wednesday and Thursday but not by much as a frontal passage occurs later in the week. Pop up showers and thunderstorms will be the name of the game today (Monday) through Wednesday, while widespread showers develop Thursday and Friday as the front migrates across the region. Lingering moisture on Saturday translates to scattered showers developing once again, however there is potential on the models for Sunday (Independence Day) to have more sun than clouds overhead, IF the front is able to fully clear the area (not entirely confident it will). Temps all the while remain near normal for late June (low - mid 80's for the valleys) through at least Wednesday, cooling down a few degrees Thursday and Friday due to increased cloud cover and shower activity. Confidence in the forecast drops after Saturday but the overall setup looks promising for those who will be outside most of the holiday weekend.
Pop up showers and thunderstorms make up most of the action today, much like Sunday with coverage focusing along the escarpment and highest ridgelines above 5500'. A decaying tropical system will migrate across northern Georgia tonight into Tuesday, keeping muggy conditions alive and also a focus for shower development across the Southern Highlands Plateau. Temps today and Tuesday reach the mid 80's across the valley towns, while the ridgelines above 5000' hold to the upper 60's - low 70's. Overnight lows tonight dip into the upper 50's - mid 60's, warming slightly to the low - upper 60's Tuesday night; fog is a good bet each morning.
Wednesday through Friday features a steady uptick in shower coverage, going from scattered showers and thunderstorms Wednesday afternoon, to widespread coverage Thursday, Thursday night, and most of the day on Friday. We do not expect a washout but Thursday and Friday are not looking great if you are outside all day; plan for a muggy and wet end to the work week. Temps go from the mid 80's Wednesday to the low 80's Thursday and possibly may only make it to 80°F on Friday due to mostly cloudy skies. Overnight lows will generally settle into the upper 50's - mid 60's each night under mostly cloudy skies; persistent showers Thursday and Friday nights.
The front should be east of the area on Saturday, however we are not sure how far east it will move, hence the uncertainty about Independence Day and whether it will be dry with more sun than clouds or a typical pop up shower day. We'll stop here and circle back Wednesday morning and by then we should have a better handle on the upcoming holiday weekend. ENJOY!