Frigid Thursday; Sunny Fri & Sat
Good afternoon folks! We were spared the worst from this round of wintry precip with only a few reports of ice in the higher elevations and as of the mid afternoon hours on Monday, snow is beginning to mix across the higher elevations as we shift to westerly flow. Colder air will wrap into the region tonight and light snow showers are likely to continue into the morning hours on Thursday for the TN line and nearby ridgelines, with very light accumulations. Thursday is looking a bit more cloudy than previously forecasted, with passing low - mid level clouds at times as low level moisture lingers in tandem with a strengthening NW flow. Thursday afternoon brings scattered snow showers for those closer to to the TN line (Maggie Valley --> state line), but nothing to get excited about, just a possible burst in coverage from a passing disturbance that will fizzle out before midnight. Clear skies take over before sunrise on Friday and we will enjoy a sunny end to the work and school week, followed by more sunshine on Saturday. A passing front and nearby trough will produce a round of light - moderate showers Saturday night, with lingering clouds on Sunday to round out the weekend. Temps will be frigid on Thursday as they hold to the mid 20's above 3500' and mid - upper 30's for the lower elevations, warming to the upper 40's for the valleys on Friday. This weekend inches the thermometer a few degrees higher into the low 50's, eventually peaking to the mid 50's early next week and we're eyeing a possible cold snap right around Christmas Day.
Light snow lingers along the TN line to start the day on Thursday, while mostly sunny skies sit overhead across the rest of SW NC, however its likely we'll see a handful of passing clouds at times. Temps will be frigid, only warming to the low - mid 20's across the higher elevations, while the valleys warm to the upper 30's, alongside a NW wind around 5 - 15mph. As we enter the evening hours a round of scattered snow showers is possible but this shouldn't result in any impact to travel. Clear skies prevail as we move through the overnight hours into Friday, with temps settling into the upper teens - mid 20's depending upon elevation.
Friday and Saturday are grouped together because both days feature mostly sunny skies and temps warming to near normal levels as they hit the upper 40's - low 50's across the valleys. Overnight lows Friday night dip into the low - upper 20's and hold to the upper 20's - mid 30's Saturday night. A round of light - moderate showers are likely Saturday night, falling as snow above 4500' but a cold rain for the rest of us.
Sunday into Monday has a lower confidence amongst the modeling, but for now we are going with high clouds most of the day on Sunday and Monday (precip is possible Sunday night but confidence remains low). Temps Sunday warm to the low 50's, climbing to the mid 50's by Monday.
We'll stop here and circle back Friday morning with a new discussion. Stay warm out there!