Soggy Monday; Pleasant by Mid Week
Good afternoon folks! As of late Saturday afternoon it looks like Hurricane Isaias will not strengthen much further and the forecast track by the NHC shows it hugging the eastern coastline till roughly the SC/NC line, arriving late Monday, exiting during the day Tuesday. This will keep our region in play for scattered to widespread showers Sunday evening through Monday night and then its back to a normal summer time setup of sunshine and pop up thunderstorms Tuesday through Friday. Temps will be comfortable for August as they hold to the low - mid 80's each afternoon across the valleys, with Monday being the coolest day of the week due to cloudy skies.
Sunday will wrap up the weekend on a quiet note as high clouds begin to stream into the region from the south and east. Temps warm to the upper 60's - low 80's depending upon elevation and isolated thunderstorms will develop around the mid afternoon hours, with coverage expanding as we head into the overnight hours. Temps Sunday night dip into the low - mid 60's and scattered showers move in closer to midnight, rolling into the morning hours on Monday.
An inch of rain is forecasted to fall from late Sunday evening into Monday evening by the WPC and this is due to southeasterly flow from Hurricane Isaias (may be a Tropical Storm as it nears NC), combining with a stalled front near the region. Scattered to widespread showers will occur throughout the day and some rain will be heavy, but for the most part we'll endure a wet start to the week, nothing more; 1.5 - 2" in isolated spots along the escarpment is possible due to upslope flow. Temps Monday will push to the mid - upper 60's along the ridgelines and hold to the upper 70's - low 80's across the lower elevations. Showers gradually wind down overnight into Tuesday with lows in the upper 50's - low 60's across the area.
Tuesday through Thursday looks pleasant with mostly sunny skies overhead each day, mixed in with a few thunderstorms later in the day as temps warm to the low - mid 80's across the lower elevations. We'll stop here and circle back late Monday afternoon.