Good evening folks! The work week will be muggy and wet but temps will hold to normal levels and taking a look into the holiday weekend, we'll continue to deal with above normal rain chances, with a growing chance for a heavy rain event (still up in the air). Northwest flow into the region will funnel many rounds of rain and thunderstorms into the area as we move through the week and moisture levels will be high due to a front that will stall just to our north. Daily rainfall amounts will vary but 0.25 - 0.50" of rain is likely each day and totals Monday through Friday should be in the 2" range for all of SW NC.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms kickoff the work week before the sun even rises on Monday, with scattered showers peppering the region the rest of the day as NW flow maintains its grip over the region. Temps will warm to the upper 60's - mid 80's depending upon elevation and with moisture levels so high, expect a muggy setup across the area. Spotty light - moderate showers will dot the landscape overnight into Tuesday with low temps in the low - mid 60's across the region.
Tuesday and Wednesday increase shower coverage to widespread, with moderate intensities making up the action on Tuesday, while scattered thunderstorms push through NW flow on Wednesday (likely extending into the overnight hours). Temps don't move much, holding to the upper 60's - mid 80's each afternoon and its possible we only make it to the low 80's Wednesday if storms develop sooner than expected. Overnight lows hold to the low - mid 60's each night with continuing shower activity, much higher Wednesday night compared to Tuesday night.
Thursday and Friday introduce more sunshine to the mix, but moisture levels will remain elevated and this will translate into afternoon thunderstorms and showers. Confidence levels drop as we move into the weekend, so we'll only mention the models hint at a possible heavy rain event for the holiday weekend, but either way, we advice folks to setup plans that work with or around showers; definitely not a full sunshine setup this year.
We'll stop here and circle back Tuesday late afternoon with a more focused look at the holiday weekend, as the models should have the kinks worked out regarding the possible heavy rain event.