Good afternoon folks! Sunshine is dominating the landscaping as we start the work and school week, with no clouds overhead as of this afternoon (Monday). We'll notice an uptick in clouds throughout the day Tuesday, culminating in scattered showers late Tuesday night that should carry over into Wednesday afternoon. This is due to a weak backdoor front trying to move southward late tomorrow, followed by a cold front sliding across the region Wednesday, all of which won't amount to anything more than a handful of showers and a few thunderstorms. Dry weather settles back in Thursday and looks to continue through the weekend and into early next week.
Temps will finally cool down beginning Wednesday but this will be short lived as we expect a slow and steady warming trend to take over Saturday, although the above average levels will not be too bad considering its mid September. Normal temps for the valleys during the middle of September are in the upper 70's for highs and mid 50's for lows and we'll experience a similar range Wednesday through Friday. Starting Saturday temps will break into the low 80's across the valleys, but sunshine will continue to reign supreme, so perhaps this is a gift for those who needed an extension to the summer-like weather.
Tuesday and Wednesday bring us passing clouds with a sunny start to the day Tuesday, ending with partly cloudy skies overhead by the late evening hours. Isolated showers are likely past the midday mark on Tuesday and the best chance for any shower activity will be along the escarpment and Haywood/Transylvania county area as opposed to our more southwestern counties. Isolated shower chances linger through the night and as temps warm on Wednesday, mixed with a little bit of sunshine, we expect scattered showers to develop past midday. Temps Tuesday will make a run to the low - mid 80's across the lower elevations, while the ridgelines enjoy highs in the upper 60's - low 70's. Overnight lows dip into the upper 50's - low 60's and only rebound the the mid 60's along the ridgelines, to the upper 70's throughout the valleys.
A noticeable change in the air occurs late Wednesday night as drier air moves in, allowing for a true fall like feel as we start the day Thursday; crisp, cool air with some light fog possible. Sunshine dominates the forecast Thursday into Sunday and temps warm from the mid - upper 70's Thursday to the low - mid 80's Sunday.
We'll stop here as there is not much more to discuss and with the pattern fairly quiet this week, we'll wait till Thursday till our next discussion comes out, likely around 2 - 4pm.