Good afternoon folks! The front is currently crossing the region and bringing with it scattered showers and thunderstorms that will carry into the evening hours. The front will not push all the way through the region and instead stall just to our south across the Piedmont, setting up a mechanism for scattered showers and thunderstorms on Friday and Saturday. The front will eventually clear out by Sunday and as Barry makes it way northward, our region will benefit from a break in the rain Sunday into Monday. Barry is likely (not set in stone) to turn eastward late Monday and arrive on our doorstep Tuesday, bringing with it heavy rain that may linger into Wednesday. Beyond this point in time it seems we return to the normal summertime setup with sunshine returning, isolated showers and increasing temps. As Barry moves northward Sunday into Monday, we also will benefit from the high clouds streaming overhead, helping to keep temps slightly below average, however they are likely to push to above normal levels by the end of next week.
Friday and Saturday feature scattered thunderstorms each afternoon and Friday looks slightly wetter than Saturday, due to pieces of upper level energy interacting with the lingering front. Temps will reach the mid 80's Friday and low 80's Saturday across the lower elevations, with overnight lows well above average as they settle into the mid - upper 60's. There is likely to be more clouds than sunshine each day, so not the best setup for hitting the water but with temps and humidity levels so high, a dunk in the river still seems appealing.
Sunday and Monday for the most part will be dry and we say most part because isolated showers are possible, however the setup does not look conducive for thunderstorms or moderate - heavy showers. There will be high clouds overhead each afternoon, with clouds thickening late Monday as remnants of Barry shift east, capping temps to the upper 70's - low 80's across the lower elevations.
If you have plans to be outside Tuesday or Wednesday of next week, keep an eye on the forecast as most of the modeling brings the remnants of Barry just to the north of our region, allowing heavy rain to develop that could drop several inches over the 48 hour period.
Our next discussion will come out Sunday morning and we'll focus on the possible effects of Barry Tuesday into Wednesday, with a glance at the end of next week.