Good afternoon folks! We hope everyone wasn't caught off guard with the time change this morning, but if you were the forecast will make up for it as we expect spring like conditions this week. Temps will be near normal for the most part but windy conditions coupled with a drier airmass may bring on a slight chill during the early morning and late evening hours each day. We'll enjoy sunshine Monday through Wednesday, however high clouds Monday and late day clouds Wednesday will ensure Tuesday is the sunniest day of the week. Showers are expected to return sometime around sunrise Thursday, peaking in coverage and intensities Friday and winding down sometime early Saturday. Since we are still four to five days out from the next rain event, keep in mind this timeline is likely to change.
Temps Sunday night will settle into the upper 30's along the ridgelines to the mid 40's in the valleys, under partly cloudy skies with periods of cloudiness as a weak front nears the region. This front will cross during the day on Monday, hence the high clouds but we don't expect anything more than passing clouds. Temps Monday rise to the low 50's across the higher elevations and peak to the low - mid 60's in the valleys, with overnight lows in the mid - upper 30's depending upon elevation.
Tuesday offers us sunny skies, while Wednesday features clouds gradually filling in as the day moves along, resulting in mostly cloudy skies by the late evening hours. Temps both days will push into the low 50's - low 60's, however Wednesday may be a degree or two cooler due to the increasing cloud cover (and feel colder too without direct sunshine). Temps settle into the mid 30's Tuesday night for the valley, while the ridgelines only dip down to the low 40's due radiational cooling; low - mid 40's Wednesday night for all of SW NC.
Thursday introduces rain to the region due to southwesterly flow increasing ahead of the next frontal passage, which should occur sometime Friday, exiting around sunrise Saturday. Temps reach the low - mid 50's along the ridgelines Thursday and Friday, while pushing into the mid 60's throughout the lower elevations. Roughly two inches of rain will fall during this time frame and we'll dive into more details when our next discussion comes out Tuesday.