Ridgeline Snow Early Monday; Sunny Tuesday

Good afternoon folks! I am slightly delayed in releasing this discussion, but as of the late afternoon hours on Saturday, the rain is just now beginning to move into the region. Showers will slowly propagate eastward and peak after midnight, with most of the region coming close to the 1" mark. A second cold front sweeps the region late Sunday evening and strong winds and spotty showers accompany the front, with rain kicking over to snow Sunday night. NW flow will develop in the front's wake and at the same time moisture will increase, resulting in scattered snow showers around sunrise Monday, accumulating along the TN line and nearby ridgelines. This will be a typical, but strong NW flow eve

Showers Late Saturday; Snow Sunday into Monday

Good afternoon folks and Happy Thanksgiving! The weather is gorgeous today but things will soon change as we head into the weekend. We'll enjoy one more day of sunshine Friday and then showers push into the region Saturday afternoon, peaking overnight into Sunday. The front that provides us with rain late Saturday will push east Sunday, but a fairly strong NW flow event will begin Sunday afternoon, setting up a NW flow snow event Sunday night into the day on Monday. For now we only expect accumulating snow above 4000' for locations closer to the TN line, however the valleys should experience passing snow showers. Temps will dip to well below normal levels Monday and warm slightly on Tuesday,

Soggy Travel Day; A Sunny Thanksgiving

Good afternoon folks! Confidence in the forecast Tuesday through Friday is high and although we have a handle on what the weekend will bring us, the details are a bit fuzzy at this time. Tuesday brings us late day clouds and showers arrive around sunrise Wednesday, exiting before the mid afternoon hours. A sunny day is on tap for Thanksgiving, while Friday offers up increasing clouds, although they seem to be more of the high level variety with periods of sun, so not a total loss of a day. The forecast is not as clear as we enter the weekend, but we do know a second frontal passage will occur and we expect another round of rain Saturday into Sunday, followed by a possible NW flow snow event

Sunny Skies Sunday into Tuesday

Good afternoon folks! Rain is falling overhead as we post this discussion Saturday afternoon and rainfall totals are on track to meet forecasted amounts of 1 - 2" across the region, with a few sites coming to close to 2.5 - 3" when it's all said and done. Showers clear out this evening and as the low pressure system slides NE, a NW flow event will develop tonight, allowing snow to fall along the TN line and nearby ridgelines. Sunshine then takes over Sunday and sticks around into Tuesday, followed by a frontal passage late Tuesday into Wednesday that will bring us another round of widespread showers. Thanksgiving Day will feature a few light showers and passing clouds, but this is not a lock

Widespread Rain Saturday; Dry Sunday

Good afternoon folks! Not much has changed in regards to our rain chances Friday and Saturday, with scattered showers moving through Friday afternoon, becoming widespread Saturday. Temps will remain a handful of degrees above normal Friday and Saturday but drop to slightly below normal levels Sunday, returning to normal early next week. Sunshine returns Sunday but clouds will be slow to exit the region, followed by more sunshine Monday and Tuesday. We close out the work and school week under cloudy skies, however SW flow ahead of the incoming front will allow temps to reach the low 50's - low 60's depending upon elevation. Although rain moves in Friday afternoon, we don't expect much as rain

A Slight Warm-up; Showers return Friday

Good afternoon folks! We close out Tuesday with a slight chance for an isolated shower or two overnight into Wednesday, followed by clearing skies early Wednesday morning. Sunshine Wednesday and Thursday will bring us the warmest temps of the week, running roughly 4 - 6 degrees above normal. A cold front and upper level piece of energy will swing through Friday, resulting in scattered showers during the day, followed by a break in the action early Friday night. A low pressure system moving up the Appalachians will bring us a second round of rain Saturday. Showers should clear out before sunrise Sunday, providing us with at least one dry day this weekend. There is a chance for some light snow

A Touch Warmer this Week

Good afternoon folks! Our weather remains quiet as we close out the weekend and we don't expect much change till later in the week. The only excitement is that temps slowly warm to above average levels by Wednesday and Thursday. We are only expecting temps anywhere from 6 - 8 degrees above normal, so nothing too warm but a nice break from the cooler temps as of late. Several disturbances pass overhead early this week, followed by a frontal passage early Friday and possibly a low pressure system next weekend. Even with this train of disturbances passing overhead or nearby, we'll only experience light rain at best and many spots around SW NC will remain dry through Thursday. Temps Monday climb

Fair Weather into Monday; Cloudy Tuesday

Good afternoon folks! The weekend looks pleasant with sunshine overhead and temps a handful of degrees below normal, with fair weather extending into Monday. Two disturbances swing through early next week, the first later in the day Monday and the second Tuesday. Both of these will be moisture starved and at this time we only passing clouds, with sunshine returning Wednesday. Our next possibility for precip occurs Thursday of next week, but we are too far out in time dive into the details. Temps all the while warm to slightly below normal levels this weekend, cooling down to levels roughly 8 - 10 degrees below normal (low 50's for the valleys), with a warm-up likely for late next week. Sunsh

Chilly Temps; Isolated Showers Thursday

Good afternoon folks! The recent snow event did not pan out like we thought it would in several ways. The main issue was that the timing was off on our end, resulting in a delayed changeover from rain to snow and coupled with that, the valleys never fully kicked over to snow. The one and perhaps only verification was the general layout of where snow did accumulate, however even there we missed our forecasted totals. All in all, we'd give the SNOWCAST map and forecast a letter grade D and not a complete failure because the usual NW flow locations picked up accumulating snow (highest was 2.5" along the TN line). Of note, this morning we experienced our first single digit readings of the season

Snow Tuesday; Cold through Thursday

Good morning folks! We are less than 24 hours from our 1st region wide snow event of the season and as of now it doesn't look like a major event, more of a travel nuisance during the morning rush hour on Tuesday. The timeline has shifted somewhat as the models show the changeover from rain to snow occurring shortly after midnight as opposed to our previous window during the evening hours. The temps and snow totals remain the same and we still expect some sunshine later in the day Tuesday. Sunny skies will dominate the forecast after the arctic front sweeps the region, with sunny skies overhead Wednesday through Sunday. Temps will remain well below average through Wednesday, only reaching hig

Location/Elevation dependent SNOW Tuesday

Good afternoon folks! Thank you to those who have waited for our take on this upcoming rain/snow event Monday night into Tuesday. We are glad we took the extra days to allow the models to come into sync and although it's still not a lock 48 - 60 hours out, we are confident we will see snow fall across the region late Monday night into Tuesday. As to how much is still up in the air, but we do feel this event will be dependent on location (how far south and east you are from the TN line) and of course elevation. Looking past the hyped up snow event, we expect a stretch of very cold days, with temps roughly 16 - 22 degrees below normal for mid November, taking till Friday or Saturday of next we

A Chilly Weekend; Snow Next Tuesday?

Good morning folks! It's Thursday and we are watching a large swath of rain move west to east across the Southeast this morning, slated to arrive during the afternoon hours, peaking in coverage and intensity this evening. A half inch of rain is likely, with an inch possible but this should be a quiet event with temps near normal this afternoon. Looking ahead, we expect rain to kick over to snow tonight for the highest ridgelines (above 5500') closer to the TN line, with an inch at best, coupled with a decent coating of rime ice across the high country. Temps tonight plummet to the mid 20's - low 30's depending upon elevation and NW winds ramp up to 15 - 25mph above 4000'. Clear and sunny ski

Ridgeline Snow; Cold Weekend Lies Ahead

Good afternoon folks! There is a reason we shifted to this timeline of releasing a new forecast discussion every other day or during boring/quiet weather stretches, every few days. The snow hype that has been propagating across social media brought us many emails, all of which we addressed, but sometimes it makes a difference to wait out the model chaos. It can snow this time of the year, but the overall back and forth among the models gave us enough whiplash to hold out till today (Tuesday) to announce this upcoming snow chance will only be for the TN line and nearby ridgelines, those typically impacted by NW flow events. All of this will come on the heels of the frontal passage late Thursd

Boring and Quiet, but Chilly

Good afternoon folks! Pure sunshine will be the name of the game from Sunday into the middle of the week, with rain chances increasing Thursday. Several frontal passages occur from Saturday night into late next week, but most will be lacking any real moisture to develop showers. Temps remain anywhere from 6 - 10 degrees below normal Sunday and Monday, warming to normal levels by Tuesday and Wednesday. For the valleys, normal for early November is mid 60's each afternoon and mid 30's each night. Other than that, it'll be a quiet end to the weekend and start of the school and work week. Sunshine overhead Sunday and Monday will not help much with temps as they hold to the low 40's along the rid

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