Turning Up the Heat

Good afternoon folks! No substantial change in the overall pattern will occur this weekend or next week and the only noticeable change are the warming temps as the valleys approach 90°F starting Tuesday, lingering well into late next week. Moisture levels will come and go but generally we'll have enough moisture in the air to fire up isolated to scattered thunderstorms as we go from Saturday into the middle of next week. The models show a decent chance for thunderstorms Monday, but nothing widespread at this time and certainly nothing to cancel or reschedule your outdoor plans. All in all, the weekend through at least Wednesday looks typical for early July, with Independence Day at this time

Isolated Thunderstorms through Saturday

Good afternoon folks! We sure are enjoying this mostly sunny Tuesday as drier air continues across the region, however this will slowly change as the week plays out, with increasing moisture levels by Thursday or Friday. We'll enjoy another mostly sunny day Wednesday and isolated thunderstorms will make up the action for Thursday through Saturday, possibly even Sunday. The upper level ridge that is keeping most of the convection at bay will linger through the end of the week, possibly breaking down as early as Saturday but more than likely Sunday into Monday. The models have not made up their mind as to when additional moisture will funnel into the region and while we enjoy this break from t

Showers Late Monday; Sunshine Tuesday

Good afternoon folks! The band of showers and thunderstorms that crossed the region early afternoon Sunday dropped a quarter of an inch for most of the region, with a handful of half inch reports and the highest total is out of Otto at 0.94". We'll enjoy a slight reprieve from the rain Sunday night through Monday morning, followed by another round of scattered thunderstorms late Monday afternoon. This next round of rain is due to a frontal passage Monday evening, which will usher in drier air for Tuesday, translating to mostly sunny skies with a slight chance for a pop up shower closer to sunset. The upper level ridge weakens Wednesday into Friday, allowing for typical summer time pop up thu

A Sunny Summer Solstice

Good morning folks and Happy Summer Solstice! The solstice will take place at 11:54am and today will be the longest day of the year in terms of daylight, roughly 4.5 hours more daylight than what we experience on December 21st (Winter Solstice). We'll welcome the Summer Solstice with sunshine and warm temps today, followed by a round of showers and thunderstorms late tonight. Another round of scattered thunderstorms, possibly organized as a squall line, will push through late Saturday afternoon, with Sunday offering up a normal summer time setup as pop up thunderstorms develop after midday. A front approaches the region Monday, arriving closer to sunset and will deliver yet another round of

On and Off Again Thunderstorms

Good afternoon folks! Tuesday proved to be a very wet day across the region, blowing our forecasted rainfall amounts out of the water as some locations surpassed the 3" mark, while most of the region picked up an inch or more. Wednesday is winding down with little fanfare but Thursday should be active as we expect a morning round of moderate - heavy rain, followed by a second round closer to sunset as a cold front pushes through the region. This front will move east and stall but far enough away to allow dry weather to move in Friday, setting up a nice yet hot end to the work week. The NW flow setup brings us more thunderstorms Saturday, with two possible rounds (much like Thursday) and Sund

A Typical Summertime Setup

Good afternoon folks! We are closing out the weekend on a pleasant note and looking at the week ahead, we expect a typical summertime setup with muggy humidity levels and a mix of sun and afternoon thunderstorms through at least Thursday. A front may bring us some dry weather closer to next weekend, but nothing to write home about, perhaps just enough to give us break from the constant afternoon/evening shower development. Temps Monday through Thursday will be slightly warm but nothing to crazy for mid June as they climb to the upper 60's along the ridgelines and hit the low - mid 80's throughout the lower elevations. It seems Tuesday afternoon and Thursday evening will be our wettest period

A Gradual Return to Normal

Good afternoon folks! Temps this morning were a few degree below forecasted levels, with the coldest spot found atop Mt Mitchell at 33.3°F, while the rest of the 6100 - 6400' ridgelines sat in the mid - upper 30's. The valleys enjoyed temps as low as the low - mid 40's and by Saturday morning we'll be back in the 40's, but not as cold as the 30's. Sunshine and some late day fair weather clouds will make up most of the action on Saturday, while Sunday features pop up showers and a few thunderstorms past midday as high pressure off to our east spins moisture back into the region. We'll return to normal by early next week as muggy conditions and afternoon showers fill in across the region, wit

Upper 30's in Mid June?!?!

Good afternoon folks! The heavy rains are behind and the highest amount over the 5 day period (6/5 - 6/10) was out of Highlands at 8.27". Looking beyond today at Wednesday through Sunday it seems rain chances will be minimal with a round of light showers Wednesday, followed by gorgeous weather Thursday through Saturday. Isolated pop up showers and thunderstorms are a good bet for Sunday, but nothing widespread so keep those outdoor plans. A high pressure system will move to the northeast tomorrow, setting up a somewhat rare June cold air damming event for the Carolinas but seeing how it will not be strong enough to push past the Great Balsams, we don't foresee much rain across the region. Th

Light at the End of the Tunnel

Good afternoon folks! It sure has been a soggy weekend and looking ahead it seems the abundant moisture stream will continue into at least Wednesday, with scattered showers and thunderstorms each day. We have not hit the forecasted totals along the escarpment, but we are close and elsewhere across SW NC we are on track with 2 - 4" already in the bucket since last Wednesday. Another 1 - 2" is possible for the majority of SW NC, while another 2 - 3" is likely for the N GA and SC state lines, where anywhere from 4.5 - 6.25" has fallen since Wednesday. Temps will warm to near normal levels Monday but cool down to the low - mid 70's Wednesday across the lower elevations, eventually returning to n

Weekend Washout; More Rain Next Week

Good morning folks! Most of the region has picked up a half inch of rain since Wednesday, however numerous sites surpassed the one inch mark and a handful reached 1.5". We'll pick up another 0.5 - 2" across the region today (Friday), while this weekend brings us 3 - 5" of rain depending upon location. Monday and Tuesday keep the rain train going with another 0.5 - 2" over the 48 hour period and although we forecast these amounts, all it takes is one thunderstorm to stall over one location for a short period of time to exceed our forecasted totals. The models show a front swinging through sometime Wednesday, possibly clearing out the excessive moisture levels and bringing a dry setup for late

Heavy Rain Incoming; 6 - 10" region-wide

Good morning folks! In our last post on Monday we talked about the potential for 2 - 3" of rain from Wednesday into Sunday and since then the models have increased these totals, with a new forecast of 5 - 7" region wide from Wednesday into Tuesday of next week. There will be spots along and near the escarpment (area in which the mountains drop off to the foothills; SC state line) that pick up close to 10" of rain as the overall setup looks ideal for numerous rounds of heavy rain. Flooding may be an issue at times across the interior portion of SW NC, while areas along the escarpment will experience localized flooding as the 7 - 10" rainfall totals will not saturate as fast as we would like,

Who's Ready for Rain?!?

Good afternoon folks! I was fortunate enough to spend some time on the ridgelines this past weekend, particularly around Black Balsam Knob and the overnight temps were refreshing as temps dipped into the 40's. Even Mt Mitchell this morning dipped down to 47°F this morning, so if you are in need of some spring like weather, head on up to elevations above 5900' and enjoy the cooler temps while they last. Looking ahead, temps remain near normal through the rest of the week but the humidity levels will skyrocket beginning Wednesday, remaining muggy through at least early next week. Sunshine remains overhead Tuesday, however widespread showers sweep the region Wednesday and scattered pop up showe

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