Rain Winds Down Friday; Sunny Sunday

Good Morning Folks! Over the past 24 hours ending Thursday 8am, most of the region has picked up a quarter - half inch of rain, however locations near the TN/GA corner surpassed an inch and several are closing in on 1.5". The orientation of the front and flow of moisture (southwesterly) are setting up another day of widespread showers, with periods of heavy rain. The front will gradually slide east, but it may take till Friday afternoon to exit our region as the high pressure system moving down from Canada is not in a hurry. It seems the Mountain Heritage Day Festival this Saturday at Western will be spared from widespread showers, with the only threat being an isolated shower or two moving

A Wet Week Ahead

Good Morning Folks! Over the past 24 hours ending Tuesday morning at 9am, rainfall totals generally are in the 0.10 - 0.25" range across SW NC, however several locations along the escarpment have picked up over an inch. These locations include Hogback Mountain at 1.22" (Panthertown Valley area), Lake Toxaway at 1.26" and Cold Creek along the Jackson/Transylvania County line at 1.61". Shower chances remain high today through the end of the week, with periods of heavier rainfall expected and totals ending Saturday morning should average out to 2 - 3" for most of SW NC. The heaviest rain will move in tomorrow afternoon and several rounds of rain will push through Thursday afternoon and perhaps

Autumnal Equinox and Cooler Temps

Good Morning Folks! Today is game day in the Whee as WCU takes on VMI at 3pm this afternoon, so be sure to account for traffic around Cullowhee leading up to and after the game. We expect a good deal of sunshine today, with a front lingering just to our north. This front will slowly edge its way into the region overnight and through the day on Sunday, setting up a wet start to the work and school week as Monday rolls around, with shower coverage extending well into the middle of the week. The front is likely to hang around through Tuesday and then a second front is expected to arrive from the west Wednesday, possibly stirring up a handful of strong to severe thunderstorms. By the end of next

Goodbye Florence, Hello Warmth

Good Morning Folks! The impact of Florence on our region was minimal with 1 - 2" of rain dropped across most of the region, with the highest amounts near 3" along and near the Jackson/Haywood county line. Several sites within Haywood county surpassed the 4" mark and even higher amounts could be found as one heads toward NW NC, with a peak wind gust of 74mph atop Mt Mitchell on Saturday. All in all our region was spared, however keep our neighbors to the southeast in mind as they continue to deal with the aftermath of Florence for several more days (mainly river flooding). Today will feature partly sunny - mostly cloudy skies overhead and temps will hold to the mid 60's along the ridgelines t

The Heaviest Rains stay East of SW NC

Good Morning Folks! Sobering rainfall totals continue to come in from Southeastern NC with Morehead City leading the way as of Friday midnight, with a total of 23.75" and numerous foot plus totals across the coast. Another 10 - 20" of rain is expected over the next 24 hours for the above mentioned area, with the heavy rain pivoting through the Piedmont and eventually crossing the NW NC mountains and heading north from there to the Ohio Valley. This track takes the center of what will be the remnants of Tropical Storm Florence over our area and because the heaviest rains are to the east of the center, SW NC will be spared the heaviest rainfall. Our neighbors across the Piedmont and NW NC moun

Florence brings Widespread Showers

Good Afternoon Folks! Florence is crawling toward the NC coast as of 3pm Thursday and landfall is expected shortly after sunrise Friday morning in the Wilmington area. The impacts to our easterly neighbors will be substantial, however this discussion will focus on SW NC as we have a slightly better handle on the track of the system once it makes landfall. Florence will meander along the coastline after making landfall and eventually turn northwest toward our region during the day Saturday, pushing rain into the area sometime Sunday morning, with showers lingering through Monday and finally ending Tuesday as the system lifts north. Of course this is not set in stone but the models are agreein

Florence's Impact to SW NC

Good Morning Folks! Although the track of Hurricane Florence is not set in stone, the models have shifted the storm further southwest since we last spoke, making landfall initially along the NC coast (around Wilmington) and again along the SC lowcountry, with a final push inland toward our region early next week. This stalling of the system and the eventual meandering toward our region will produce historical rainfall amounts for most of the Carolinas, certainly the coastal regions and with the new wrinkle of it pushing into our neck of the woods, we now are forecasting for a heavy rain event for SW NC early next week. We should mention again that this track is not a lock but we encourage ev

Soupy September Continues

Good Morning Folks! The setup remains the same since our last update, with southerly flow dominating the pattern across our region, eventually transitioning to easterly flow around Wednesday. This translates into increased shower chances with rainfall totals around 1 - 3" by Thursday morning, with the higher totals likely along the escarpment. Looking into the latter part of the week, Tropical Storm Florence's path is still not set in stone, although landfall along the east coast does look more and more like a certainty at this point in time. What this means for our region has yet to be determined as we could be in the subsidence region of the system, which would mean less rainfall or a trac

Wet Weekend Ahead; Mugginess Lingers

Good Afternoon Folks! We're almost to the end of the work and school week, with the upper level ridge continuing to dominate the overall weather pattern but the models point to a breakdown of the ridge this weekend, setting up an increasing chance for showers. We don't expect a washout but passing showers are a good bet and perhaps enough to have you reschedule your outdoor plans. The upper level ridge will shift east by the weekend, with a high pressure system in the Northeast setting up a damming pattern (easterly flow into the mountains) and when coupled with a stalled front to our west, shower chances ramp up. Beyond Sunday the picture is fuzzy at best as the biggest player to consider i

Warmer than Normal, Rain Chances Increase by Week's End

Good Morning Folks! Congrats to the WCU Football team for their win over Newberry this past Saturday and happy Labor Day to everyone! There will be a bit more sunshine today than yesterday, however isolated thunderstorms are still likely and much like yesterday, the majority of the action will develop along the escarpment (SC state line). We'll continue to enjoy drier weather and above average temps today through Wednesday, but as the upper level ridge breaks down shower chances increase Thursday and Friday, possibly peaking this upcoming weekend. There is still a good deal of uncertainty into how much rain will fall Thursday into the upcoming weekend, as the tropics throw a minor wrench int

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